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Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 29, 2020 | Chemicals

The oil price as well as refining margins retreated this week, pulling Sasol’s spot earnings a little deeper into the red.  The stronger rand contributed to lower earnings but should actually assist FY20 earnings as year-end hedge losses will be lower.Chemical...

Sasol: An alternative valuation – a call option on oil

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 27, 2020 | Chemicals

Equity holders at risk:   The market value of Sasol’s equity has fallen well below the outstanding debt in the firm increasing the risk to equity holders significantly.  Conventional valuations compromised:  Conventional valuation methodologies...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 22, 2020 | Chemicals

Rebounding in oil prices, a recovery in refining margins and small increases in chemical prices had a significant impact on Sasol’s spot earnings and we now estimate a loss of R13.12/share for FY21.Ethylene prices in Asia continue to increase on slightly higher...

Sasol: Liquidity revisited – not out of the woods yet

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 20, 2020 | Chemicals

Fuel prices higher:   Oil prices as well as refining margins have increased significantly since we published our review of Sasol’s liquidity at the end of April (link).  Sasol’s petrol and diesel prices in rands have increased by 73.2% and 90.8%,...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 15, 2020 | Chemicals

Spot prices still point to heavy losses in FY21 (R25.09).  Key drivers remain the low oil price, compounded by weak crack spreads.  All chemical prices are lower than our expectations.Refining margins are higher and approaching zero, but diesel cracks remain...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | May 8, 2020 | Chemicals

Spot prices still point to heavy losses in FY21 (R27.74/share).  Key drivers remain the low oil price compounded by negative crack spreads.  All chemical prices are lower than our expectations.Oil prices and refining margins increased in the last week, but...
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