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Sasol: Strategies for survival – many ifs and buts

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 28, 2020 | Chemicals

Price weakness:  Many of Sasol’s product prices are at multiyear lows, impacted by lower oil prices and broad demand destruction.Fuel prices:  Sasol’s fuel prices in South Africa have declined to the lowest levels since 2005 as oil prices declined and...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 24, 2020 | Chemicals

At spot prices Sasol’s losses deepen and we now estimate the company will earn a large loss in 2H20 with a full year loss of R5.84/share.  The loss in FY21 increases to R36.99/share.  Large losses on currency, ethane and oil hedges contribute to the loss in...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 17, 2020 | Chemicals

Spot earnings for FY21 dropped down to a loss of R22.51/share this week due to lower oil prices but also the significant decline in crack spreads in recent weeks.  Petrol cracks remain at negative $5.7/bbl, but diesel cracks have now dropped and are close to...

Sasol: WPC 2020 – weak outlook for the ethylene chain

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 14, 2020 | Chemicals

World Petrochemical Conference:  In the last week, IHS hosted the World Petrochemical conference online, forums continue into this week.Weak outlook for chemicals:  The outlook for chemical profitability remains extremely weak.  Global capacity...

Sasol: Reviewing forecasts – just too many binaries…

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 8, 2020 | Chemicals

Key assumption changes:   We have adjusted our key assumptions for the remainder of FY20 and FY21 and have lowered our FY20 HEPS estimate by 64% to R3.30/share.  We have trimmed the FY21 estimate by 3% to R19.15 as the weaker rand offsets lower prices....

Sasol: Monday update – chemicals – they all fall down

by Gerhard Engelbrecht | Apr 6, 2020 | Chemicals

Asian polymer prices lower:   Asian polymer prices, reported this morning, moved sharply lower and only PVC prices did not decline.  LDPE prices were 5% lower at $840/t while LLDPE prices declined 13% to $680/t.  Polypropylene prices were 8% lower at $800/tUS prices...
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