Research

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Forestry & Paper: Mondi FY 21E Insights

Key message: FY 21E results overshadowed by Russia invading Ukraine. Assuming no earnings (and cash extraction) from Russia, this would reduce our FY 22E EPS by 21% to EUR 1.59/share (+10% y/y), with net debt/EBITDA of 1.1x (before the Personal Care Components disposal). Under this scenario, our target price would be reduced by 18% to R 349/share, 13% higher than the CMP.

Forestry & Paper: Textile Fibres Insights

Key message: Cotton in the red, while Polyester and VSF in the green. VSF inventory days down to 19 & the average op. up to 84%. VSF theoretical profit further in the red at -USD 58/t (VSF/DWP spread +16% YTD). Spot DWP is now USD 925/t, with upside from current levels.