Chronux Research

The leading independent research firm in South Africa

Chronux Research, founded in 2020, is an independent equity research provider focused on the South African market, with coverage spanning over ten sectors and approximately 30 companies. Within the domestic market, Chronux is particularly well recognised for its Industrials, Construction, Mid-Cap and Forestry & Paper research, where the firm combines deep sector knowledge with disciplined financial modelling and a clear, conviction-led investment framework. The team provides a global perspective on key structural and cyclical themes across the sectors covered. Chronux delivers fundamental equity research incorporating both long and short ideas with analysis driven by in-house financial models, ongoing dialogue with industry decision-makers and regular engagement with management teams. In addition to company-level research, Chronux facilitates high-level interaction with senior executives and provides access to relevant industry experts, supporting clients in forming differentiated investment views. Chronux has also been committed to developing the next generation of analysts and advancing careers within the investment industry, supported by a strong and engaged institutional client base.

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Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness. We adjust our earnings to reflect an assumed 3-month loss of business due to the lockdown restrictions. The impact and extent of the lockdown can...

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Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness. We adjust our earnings to reflect an assumed 3-month loss of business due to the lockdown restrictions. The impact and extent of the lockdown can...

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Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness. Barloworld released a trading updated for the first 5 months in FY20. Trading conditions were difficult in a weak economy, but the period...

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Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness. We adjust our Bidvest earnings to reflect an assumed 3-month loss of business due to the lockdown restrictions. The impact and extent of the...

Sasol: Monday update – polymer prices still steady

Asian polymer prices steady:   Asian polymer prices, reported this morning, are still holding up reasonably well as LDPE prices declined by 2.2% to $880/t, LLDPE prices declined by 1.8% to $785/t and polypropylene declined by 2.8% to $870/t.US prices also steady:  US...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

Prices continue to trend lower driving spot earnings even lower.   Sasol’s implied refining margins declined by 46% this week as petrol cracks turned negative with the current spot crack at -$4.56/bbl.  Diesel cracks are holding up around...

Sasol: Monday update – polymer prices still steady

Asian polymer prices steady:   Asian polymer prices, reported this morning, are still holding up reasonably well as LDPE prices remained flat at $900/t and LLDPE prices declined by 3.6% to $800/t.  Polypropylene prices declined by 1.7% to $895/t.US...

Sasol: Spotlight on earnings – latest profit drivers

Key prices are moving rapidly lower continuing to drive Sasol’s spot earnings lower.  Oil declined by a further 14% and refining margins are down 8.4%, mainly due to petrol cracks falling to around $2.50/bbl.  Diesel cracks are holding up at around $12/bbl.While the...

Sasol: Saving the balance sheet – can they pull it off?

Sufficient liquidity:   Sasol has sufficient liquidity to complete the capital spend on the LCCP as well as continue running the business.  Available liquidity could be impacted slightly by the ability to place commercial paper in South Africa, however.Cost savings in...